Algo pasa con la ofensiva rusa. Está atascada

lowfour
lowfour
Started 2022-04-20
4339 posts
elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-21
#3841

@lowfour (post #3840)

a los de belgorod les debe de haber mirao un tuerto o algo, porque no es la primera vez que los rusos les petan algo por "error" o "accidente" o algo así

entre misiles que vuelan bajo, aviones con fuselajes chuscos que se les caen bombas y que encima están a tiro de himars (y partisanos y tal) pues...

además, estos eran los que estaban fortificando bajos y sótanos por si llegaban los ucros, no??

pero si los que les están zumbando más y peor son los suyos!! 🤣

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-22
#3842
Edited 2023-04-22

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12uzlyz/videoshowsukraniansstillinbakhmutruss/

Que horror, pero parece que a todo se acostumbra uno. Pero ahí siguen intentando reventar rusos hasta que llegue el momento.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-22
#3843

https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-21-2023

RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, APRIL 21, 2023

Russian forces used a new delivery of Shahed drones to strike Ukraine for the third consecutive day, targeting Kyiv for the first time in 25 days. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces launched 26 drones on April 20, of which Ukrainian forces shot down 21 and 12 drones on April 21, of which Ukrainian forces shot down eight.[1] Russian forces targeted Kyiv, Odesa, Poltava, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Kharkiv, and Chernihiv oblasts overnight on April 19 to 20 and 20 to 21.[2] The Kyiv City Military Administration reported no damage from the strikes in Kyiv.[3] Head of the Ukrainian Joint Coordination Press Center of the Southern Forces Nataliya Humenyuk stated on April 20 that Russian forces waited until a new shipment of Shahed drones arrived to use them for further strikes and noted that Russian use of missiles has also decreased.[4]

Commander of the Russian Baltic Sea Fleet Admiral Viktor Liina reportedly assumed command of the Russian Pacific Fleet on April 21 following the completion of Russian drills in the Pacific on April 20. Kremlin newswire TASS, citing an unnamed source, reported that Liina replaced Admiral Sergei Avakyants who had commanded the Russian Pacific Fleet since 2012.[5] Unofficial reports of Liina’s appointments coincide with the Russian Ministry of Defense’s (MoD) announcement that the Pacific Fleet and elements of the Russian Aerospace Forces completed drills in the Pacific under the supervision of Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy Admiral Nikolai Yevmenov.[6] The Russian MoD may have named Yevmenov as the supervisor for these drills following milblogger and nationalist discourse about Avakyants’ abrupt termination amidst the combat readiness checks.[7] ISW previously assessed that Avakyants’ dismissal may have been a result of his inability to recreate pre-war, large scale Pacific Fleet combat readiness checks due to the Pacific Fleet’s significant combat losses in Ukraine.[8]

A Russian fighter-bomber accidentally bombed Belgorod on April 20. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on April 20 that a Russian Su-34 bomber accidentally dropped a bomb while flying over Belgorod City.[9] The explosion left a crater with a 20-meter (65-foot) radius in the southern part of the city and injured three civilians.[10] The cause of the accidental bombing remains unclear, as does the reason for flying an armed bomber over a populated city. Russian milbloggers did not react to the bombing with the same vitriolic anger they often use with Russian battlefield failures. One milblogger compared the accidental bombing to the Su-34 crash in Yeysk, Krasnodar Krai, in October 2022, claiming that Belgorod residents should be thankful that the bomb did not hit a residential building.[11] Another milblogger expressed appreciation for the MoD taking responsibility for the accident and characterized the act as an atypical sign of health in the MoD.[12] A Rossiya-1 broadcaster, speaking about the event, stated that “modern military equipment allows Russian units to eliminate extremists in the special operation zone from a minimal distance”-- likely an error that indicates confusion in Russian state media on how to frame the accident in the information space.[13]

The Angry Patriots Club accused Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin of supporting efforts to freeze the war in Ukraine. Former Russian officer and ardent nationalist Igor Girkin and his Angry Patriots Club posed 40 direct questions addressed towards the Kremlin, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and the Russian military command about Russia’s conduct of the war in Ukraine, foreign affairs, and domestic power struggles.[14] Girkin asked why Russian authorities are not arresting Prigozhin for his “direct calls” to freeze the war at the current frontlines, which Girkin characterized as calls to “violate the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation.”[15] Girkin notably mentioned Prigozhin when asking who was responsible for Russian withdrawal from Kherson Oblast – an operation overseen by Wagner-affiliated former Commander of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine at that time Army General Sergey Surovikin.[16] Girkin and Prigozhin have a long-standing feud – likely as a result of competition for patronage – and Girkin’s accusations against Prigozhin may be an attempt to discredit his rival.[17]

This accusation may also indicate that Prigozhin has found a patron – possibly affiliated with the Russian MoD – who supports the temporary freeze of the war in Ukraine for political reasons. The Angry Patriots Club previously amplified a forecast that miscontextualized Prigozhin’s April 14 essay as a call to end the war in Ukraine, stating that Prigozhin’s essay was the start of a political campaign to move to the defense of new territories and freeze the war.[18] The forecast noted that the Russian MoD and Russian private military companies (PMCs) are already recruiting contract servicemen to defend occupied positions, while Russian propagandists are entertaining news about the counteroffensive to possibly present a major victory to Russians if Ukrainians are unsuccessful.[19] The forecast argues that Russia would freeze the war for 2024 for political reasons such as the presidential elections if Russia is successful in repelling Ukrainian counteroffensives. Prigozhin’s essay notably called on Russia to commit to a decisive battle in Ukraine or embrace a temporary defeat that would allow Russia to set conditions for a future victory without negotiations.[20] It is possible that Girkin and his patrons are fearful that Prigozhin has joined the political faction that is urging Russian President Vladimir Putin to stop the war on current lines following planned Ukrainian counteroffensive.[21]

Prigozhin publicly restored his cooperation with the Russian MoD and seemingly regained some Kremlin-allocated privileges at the start of April after a months-long feud with the Russian military command.[22] The Russian MoD and the Russian military command could be interested in freezing the war to reconstitute Russian forces. ISW previously assessed that the Russian MoD had likely advised Putin early on about measures such as mobilization that could have changed the course of the war earlier, and the Russian MoD had previously ordered a short-lived operational pause over the summer of 2022, for example.[23] Prigozhin’s recent cooperation with the Russian MoD indicates that he may have reached an agreement with the Russian military command – possibly offering to advocate to Putin for a temporary ceasefire to regain the ability to grow his forces and expand his political standing ahead of Russian gubernatorial and presidential elections. Prigozhin had also been criticizing Putin’s maximalist goals in Ukraine and offering grim forecasts about Russia’s need for years-long grinding attacks to capture Donbas, which are likely part of the ceasefire narrative.[24]

A temporary ceasefire in Ukraine and protraction of the war will only benefit Russia by allowing it to reconstitute its forces and wear down Western support for Ukraine. Russia will use occupied territories in Ukraine as a springboard for future offensive operations after it restores its combat capabilities. Russia is continuing to weaponize information operations in the West to discourage military aid provisions, and such efforts will only intensify if Russia is able to establish a strong defensive line with contract servicemen and conscripts that will slow Ukrainian advances.[25]

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law aimed at supporting the Kremlin’s ongoing efforts to set conditions for domestic crackdowns and the removal of officials who have fallen out of favor. Putin signed a bill on April 14 increasing administrative liabilities for unauthorized entry into critical energy infrastructure facilities and facilities operated or protected by Rosgvardia (Russian National Guard), the Federal Security Service (FSB), the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD), the Russian penitentiary system, the federal executive body for mobilization, and the Russian Armed Forces.[26] The Kremlin likely intends to use these increased punishments to obscure the activities of Russian military and security organs while also expanding these entities' ability to oust officials and crack down on Russian citizens under accusations of trespassing. Putin recently signed bills expanding legal punishments for the discreditation of all Russian personnel fighting in Ukraine and for the misappropriation of Russian military assets, and Russian security organs have increasingly used these laws as pretexts for the arrest of Russian citizens.[27] ISW has previously assessed that the Kremlin may be using the pretext of threats to Russia’s defense industrial base (DIB) to justify crackdowns, and the new law likely aims to broaden the guises under which Russian authorities justify internal repressions.[28] ISW previously assessed that the FSB appears to be conducting a large-scale overhaul of domestic security organs, which the new law may further augment.[29]

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-22
#3844

@lowfour (post #3842)

pues les está funcionando la táctica, eh?

han descojonado a los wagner, aunque no sabemos a qué coste, pero claramente si les hubieran dejado la ciudad, ahora mismo los wagner estarían "frescos" y con más moral y tal

pero bajmut se está pareciendo horrores a las termópilas o algo así, donde un puñao de "leónidas" retienen a los "orcos" mientras llegan los refuerzos y tal

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-22
#3845

>

@lowfour (post #3843) The Angry Patriots Club accused Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin of supporting efforts to freeze the war in Ukraine.

🤣🤣

joder, el club de los patriotas cabreados, yo creo que le echan algo al vodka...

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-22
#3846

Los prisioneros Wagner que sobreviven ya están cometiendo fechorías una vez cumplidos los seis meses.

https://reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12v7ngs/murderalcoholandprostituteswagnerconvicts/

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-22
#3847

Ya no saben que trolas contar. Que llamen al institut de Nova Historia o como se llame, que son unos profesionales.

https://reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12v0pk5/ukmodrussianpropagandacrumblingdown/

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-24
#3848

Image

"La idea de los subnormales del G-7 sobre la prohibición total de exportaciones a nuestro país es magnífica por definición, por el hecho que supone también el cese de importación de los productos de nuestro país más sensibles para el G-7", alertó en su canal de Telegram.

Los países del G-7 ya han congelado sus exportaciones de una amplia gama de productos a Rusia, incluidos aquellos con potencial uso militar y mercancías de lujo, pero la extensión del veto podría afectar a coches, neumáticos, cosméticos o ropa, según las fuentes.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3849

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12xbe0j/detailsofthenightattackbyseadronesin/

Ay ay ay.... Mongodev... que te va a caer uno de estos en esa cabeza de serrín imperialista que tienes.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3851

Ostia tios, estoy enganchadísimo al battlefield 2042 (y have años al Battlefield Bad Company 2) y hay unas torretas de estas que te joden vivo. Pues mira los Ukros, se ven que juegan también.

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12xa5cx/ukrainianmadesolutionofadeployableturret/

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3852

Jajajaja, el gamer comedoritos de la inteligencia Ukra está minando la moral subliminalmente a los rusos?

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12x8qhy/duringainterviewwiththeheadoftheministry/

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3853

Ostia...

La fuente es el washington post

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/24/discord-leaks-moscow-strikes-ukraine/?fbclid=IwAR3KRewlVsBMXalnIOjBc6KfJ0vC0v4KwOgfSilmV3XIqc2pFotWtLyLW-4

At U.S. behest, Ukraine held off anniversary attacks on Russia


Kyiv’s head of military intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov, planned bold strikes deep behind enemy lines that unnerved officials in Washington

In February, with the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine days away, officials in Kyiv were busy making plans to attack Moscow.

Maj. Gen. Kyrylo Budanov, the head of the country’s military intelligence directorate, the HUR, instructed one of his officers “to get ready for mass strikes on 24 February … with everything the HUR had,” according to a classified report from the U.S. National Security Agency. Officials even mused about a sea-based strike using TNT in the Black Sea port city of Novorossiysk, a largely symbolic operation that would nevertheless demonstrate Ukraine’s ability to hit deep inside enemy territory.

Back in Washington, officials were secretly monitoring the Ukrainians’ plans. The White House had long worried that attacks inside Russia could provoke an aggressive response from the Kremlin.

On Feb. 22, two days before the anniversary, the CIA circulated a new classified report: The HUR “had agreed, at Washington’s request, to postpone strikes” on Moscow. The documents, part of a trove of classified information allegedly leaked on a gaming server by a 21-year-old member of the National Guard, don’t explain precisely who interceded and why the Ukrainians agreed to stand down.

Skip to end of carousel

The Discord Leaks

Dozens of highly classified documents have been leaked online, revealing sensitive information intended for senior military and intelligence leaders. In an exclusive investigation, The Post also reviewed scores of additional secret documents, most of which have not been made public.

Who leaked the documents? Jack Teixeira, a young member of the Massachusetts Air National Guard, was arrested Thursday in the investigation into leaks of hundreds of pages of classified military intelligence. The Post reported that the individual who leaked the information shared documents with a small circle of online friends on the Discord chat platform.

What do the leaked documents reveal about Ukraine? The documents reveal profound concerns about the war’s trajectory and Kyiv’s capacity to wage a successful offensive against Russian forces. According to a Defense Intelligence Agency assessment among the leaked documents, “Negotiations to end the conflict are unlikely during 2023.”

What else do they show? The files include summaries of human intelligence on high-level conversations between world leaders, as well as information about advanced satellite technology the United States uses to spy. They also include intelligence on both allies and adversaries, including Iran and North Korea, as well as Britain, Canada, South Korea and Israel.

What happens now? The leak has far-reaching implications for the United States and its allies. In addition to the Justice Department investigation, officials in several countries said they were assessing the damage from the leaks.

1/5

End of carousel

But they offer a specific example of a broader tension that has characterized much of the war: Ukraine, eager to bring the fight to Russia’s home turf, is sometimes restrained by the United States, which has tried to avoid escalating the conflict into a direct fight between U.S. and Russian forces. Some U.S. officials see attacks on Russia, particularly if they involve U.S.-supplied weapons, as highly risky operations that Russian President Vladimir Putin could find so threatening that he resorts to using tactical nuclear weapons.

And yet mysterious explosions and drone strikes continue to happen in Russia. Ukrainian officials are often coy about the incidents, hinting that they’re responsible without directly taking credit.

“The Earth is round — discovery made by Galileo,” presidential adviser Mykhailo Podolyak wrote on Twitter in December after an attack on the Engels-2 air force base, deep inside Russia. “If something is launched into other countries’ airspace, sooner or later unknown flying objects will return to departure point.”

Operations on foreign soil fall under the HUR’s purview. Budanov, an ambitious 37-year-old general and rising star in the Ukrainian military, doesn’t acknowledge that his agency is behind the attacks. But he has warned they will continue.

“This shattered their illusions of safety,” Budanov told The Washington Post in January. “There are people who plant explosives. There are drones. Until the territorial integrity of Ukraine is restored, there will be problems inside Russia.”

Budanov did not comment for this article. U.S. officials did not comment on the leaked documents about anniversary strikes.

Privately, U.S. and European officials express their admiration for Budanov. But they also say his audacity sometimes makes them nervous.

On Feb. 13, the day that the NSA document said Budanov had instructed one of his officers to be ready for an operation presumably aimed at Novorossiysk, the United States repeated its public advisory for citizens in Russia to leave the country immediately. It’s not clear that the warning anticipated an aggressive Ukrainian strike, but it appears to reflect a level of concern in Washington about attacks around the anniversary.

Budanov is known for bold claims and pronouncements, which many Western officials regard skeptically. He has said that Putin is terminally ill, an assertion that U.S. intelligence officials have rejected, and that he uses multiple body doubles. Budanov exudes confidence that Ukraine will prevail over Russia — and soon. He has said that Crimea, the highly fortified peninsula Russia illegally annexed in 2014, must be returned to Kyiv this summer. The leaked documents show the U.S. intelligence community views that scenario as unlikely.

The documents also make clear that the U.S. intelligence community is monitoring Budanov’s communications, which seems not to be news to the general. In past interviews with The Post, Budanov, perhaps aware that he was being spied on, has played music or static noise in his office at HUR headquarters.

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-24
#3854

@lowfour (post #3851)

no sé, entre esto y lo del post de budanov que quiere atacar moscú, me da que son informaciones "comemoral" ruski

vamos, que es para tener a los ruskis entretenidos pensando en que les va a caer la de dios y así no se coscan de la que de verdad les viene encima

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3855

Tucker Carlsonnnnnnnnn a jugaaaaar

https://reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/comments/12xlorv/breakingfoxnewsfiresprokremlinpropagandist/

Otro que acabará en Nuremberg 2.0

Confirmado por todos los medios

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3856

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/24/business/media/tucker-carlson-fox-news.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

Fox News Parts Ways With Tucker Carlson


Mr. Carlson has been one of the network's top-rated hosts for many years

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3857

El canteo proruso es tal que los de fox se ponen la tirita antes del bochorno

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3858

Trump no puede volver al mando o eso nos pondría al borde de una guerra mundial con Rusia seguro, ya que haría lo posible para favorecer a Rusia, desmontando la otan o lo que sea.

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-24
#3859

@lowfour (post #3856)

ostiah!!!

una cosa es el spam anti-sistema y otra los negocios, mientras lo uno no interfiera con lo otro...

esto no lo puse yo por ahí? que las mentiras ya no salen a cuenta, ni en dinero ni en votos!

@lowfour (post #3858) bueno, por suerte, el prechident no tiene tanto poder como parece, yo creo que ahí tienen muy claro que si alguien es un poco "lagarto" se lo pueden zumbar

no digo a la manera de jfk, porque aquello fue un desastre mundial, pero le hacen un clinton o algo así y ya

es más, con trump lo tienen relativamente sencillo, y ya le han tomado las huellas por lo de la actriz esa y el soborno y el desvío de pasta y tal... pero es que lo de los documentos secretos puede ser una liada muy parda como se demuestre que pasó info "top-secret" a los ruskis por las risas o algo así...

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3860

La basura esa abrirá su PT (Putin Today) con dinerito ruso y a seguir mamando de las mentiras, la intoxicación y la propaganda.

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-24
#3861
Edited 2023-04-24

@lowfour (post #3860)

pues se ve que hay lío

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna80917

Image

Image

encuestita diciendo que el 70% de los votantes del partido apoya a trump

y seguramente las "altas esferas" (o cuarteles generales o loquesea que no le parezca bien a cinta) ya han decidido que trump no puede ser (ni puede ganar, por lo mismo que han tirado a tucker de su puesto)

pero es que no tienen recambio, desantis va muy por detrás y ya dice que pasa de presentarse

trump ha dejado todo muy bien atado, fijo que tienen dossieres por ahí de un montón de gente, y más "tuckers" dando la brasa en cada barrio (como cinta aquí, pero en foros donde los ciberputis son bien recibidos)

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-24
#3862

El chaval este de vuelta al infierno después de ser una persona normal durante unos días en Kiyv. Durísimo volver.

https://reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/12xpert/bakhmutsoldierromantrokhymetsisbackinthe/

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-25
#3864
Edited 2023-04-25

Ojo que sacan los T14 armata, los pocos que tienen, después de hacer una ñapa para que funcionen. Han comenzado la producción de 40 unidades de las 2300 que iban a comprar para 2020 (😂). Igual están listas para el 2025 dicen.

https://reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12yc1pe/t14sbeingdeployedaccordingtoinsidersfrom/

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-25
#3865
Edited 2023-04-25

Confirmado lo que puso el otro día @"elarquitecto"#3. 30% menos de muertos de promedio porque los rusos han culminado su ofensiva sin lograr UN MOJÓN (ni siquiera capturar Bakhmut entero) y se han pasado a posiciones defensivas frente a lo que viene.

Lo dice la inteligencia UK.

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-25
#3866

@lowfour (post #3864)

pues ale, el gueim cheinger que tanto esperaban los ruskis

drones iranies y armatas, ahora sí que sí

lowfour
lowfour
2023-04-26
#3867

Oye tú, que Gazprom tiene su empresa de mercenarios!!!! Pero que perversión es esta? Empresas que intentan maximizar beneficios con su propio ejército? Que podría salir mal. Os imagináis el Batallón Mercadona? O las unidades de combate Desigual????

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/12zd8wk/gazprompmcvswagnerpmcmercenariesfrompotok/?utmsource=share&utmmedium=iosapp&utmname=ioscss&utmcontent=1&utmterm=1

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-04-26
#3870

joder, es el medievo en rusia o qué??

las compañías mercantiles usaban mercenarios hasta que llegó la revolución francesa y la creación del estado-nación (con su ejército molón y tal) donde ya se integraba a la burguesía-empresarial como parte formal del estado y por tanto a defender militarmente... así de paso se tenía excusita para tener ejército colonial y expandirse a saco

pues como lo de las colonias ya no se lleva... bueno, salvo que pensemos que quieren convertir ucrania en colonia, claro...

Please log in to reply to this discussion.

Log In