El póster boy de la filosofía mediática, Henri-levy, no dice nada revolucionario en esta pequeña entrevista pero resume muy bien las ideas-fuerza que resume de que va la vaina.
WWIII, el hilo holístico del guano masivo



@lowfour (post #391)
el henri-levy nos lee, eh? 🤣
nah, este ya le dio pal pelo al dugin hace 4 o 5 años y sabe de qué va la vaina (de hecho, somos nosotros los que leemos a henri-levy en el fondo)
dice que esto ya es una guerra de la mentira contra la verdad (algo así) y que llevamos ya metidos en ella, en la wwiii, sin que nos estemos dando por enterados, bueno ya vamos cayendo poco a poco
ojocuidao que lo dijo orwell: **"In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act."** (es que me he acordado cuando has dicho lo de que no dice nada revolucionario... 😁)

@elarquitecto (post #392)
Es una de mis frases favoritas, la repetía a menudo en el foro innombrable.

están con la serie esta de #Fallout que no cagan en tuiter, pero es que ya es casualidad que ande el género on fire justo cuando se nos viene guano máximo iran-israel y los ruskis andan amenazando con nukes cada 2 meses
en fin, el diablo ii es de la época del fallout (de hecho, el fallout primero es anterior, pero bueno) y warcraft también, lo que pasa es que tanto diablo ii como warrcraft ii son de blizzard y fallout de bethesda, igual va a ser eso, que se quedó en "blizzard" y tal...

Había un tema super interesante en NYT sobre la pelea brutal del Trumpismo contra la CIA y tal. La CIA está detrás del gordo traidor, el Trump lo sabe. Lo van a pillar, os lo juro que lo van a pillar al final por asset Ruso. Está cantado. Pero si gana Trump (está por ver, Biden le ha empatado en intención de voto), intentará descabezar la CIA también.
Esto no es lo gordo, no lo encuentro, a ver si lo veo ahora... pero para que veáis que el Deep State está intentando pillar al cerdo naranja.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/09/us/politics/elliott-broidy-email-hack-lawsuit.html


@elarquitecto (post #396)
Que va, eso es el típico obrero polaco que se ha ido a echar un fiti y se ha dejado el soplete caliente sobre los rollos de plástico.
Pasen, nada que ver aquí.

Pues parece que se van moviendo las fichas para coger la pasta rusa.
After Russia destroyed the Trypilska power plant on April 11th, Ukraine blamed a lack of anti-missile ammunition. The country’s leaders are also desperate for more financial support. The two shortages—of ammunition and money—reflect different constraints among Ukraine’s allies. Whereas the lack of ammunition is mostly the product of limited industrial capacity, the lack of money is the product of limited political will.
In one area, though, there are signs of progress: over what to do with Russia’s frozen assets. After Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine, Western governments quickly locked down €260bn-worth ($282bn) of Russian assets, which have remained frozen ever since. Proposals about what to do with them have ranged from the radical (seize them and hand them over to Ukraine) to the creative (force them to be reinvested in Ukrainian war bonds). Until recently, none has found widespread favour with Western governments.
Could that soon change? On April 10th Daleep Singh, America’s deputy national security adviser for international economics, declared that **the Biden administration now wanted to make use of interest income on frozen Russian assets in order to “maximise the impact of these revenues, both current and future, for the benefit of Ukraine today”.** Six days later David Cameron, Britain’s foreign secretary, announced his support, too: “There is an emerging consensus that the interest on those assets can be used.”
**The approach is an elegant one. Income earned on Russia’s foreign holdings can be seized in a manner that is both legal and practical. Many of the country’s bonds have already matured. Cash from redemption of bonds is held by the depository in which it currently sits until it is withdrawn, paying no interest to the owner as per the depository’s usual terms and conditions. Any interest earned thus belongs to the depository—unless, that is, the state decides to tax it at a rate close to 100%.**
**Next**, as suggested by The Economist in February, **would be to transfer the net present value of that income stream to Ukraine. Investing Russia’s cash holdings into five-year German bunds would yield €3.3bn a year, enough to service eu debt of about €116bn at the same maturity.** The rest is financial plumbing: set up a G7-guaranteed fund that receives the depositories’ incomes on Russian cash, issue that fund’s debt to the markets and send the proceeds in bulk to Ukraine.
**Although the EU has agreed to seize profits from depositories, it has not agreed to the subsequent steps. Under the bloc’s current plans, the proceeds will be used to pay for Ukrainian ammunition by July if all goes well, with a small portion set aside to compensate depositories for any Russian legal action or retaliation.** But many in Europe remain suspicious about America’s desire to unlock more money through financial engineering. On April 17th Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, suggested that such proposals face a “very serious legal obstacle”.
A drip of funds would be welcomed by Ukraine, but a big wodge of cash, as promised by America’s proposal, would be better still. European politicians would therefore be wise to sign up to it before there is a new occupant of the White House.

@lowfour (post #398)
un resumen para vagos??
que les trincan los interes, no?

Esta es el escenario "guano milenarista" de ISW si cae Ucrania y Rusia ataca las bálticas.


Si Turquía está en la OTAN, a ver por qué Argentina no iba a poder estar, que al menos están en el Atlántico aunque no sea norte.

@lowfour (post #403)
esto es otro mensajito
queréis mediros la polla con 150 misilitos y 200 drones??
sujetame el cubata...
toma 12 b2 despegando uno tras otro...

Pues nada, han tenido que mandar los Gripen echando ostias a Gotland el fin de semana. Perdonad por el nivel infrahumano del periodismo sueco, no saben ni juntar dos ideas sin liarse. No es un país de intelectuales, la verdad.
https://www.svd.se/a/Oob56b/flygvapnet-i-skarp-insats-over-gotland
>Aviones de combate suecos llevaron a cabo este fin de semana una fuerte operación sobre Gotland.
>
>"No fue una demostración ni un entrenamiento. Fue una operación seria, pero no puedo entrar en detalles sobre de qué se trata", dice a TT la jefa de comunicaciones de la Fuerza Aérea, Louise Levin.
>
>El domingo por la tarde se escucharon varios fuertes estallidos en la costa occidental de Gotland, informa P4 Gotland.
>
>Fueron dos Jas 39 Gripen los que llevaron a cabo la operación y de allí provenían las explosiones.
>
>"A veces tenemos más prisa y esta vez se oyeron explosiones", dice Levin a P4 Gotland.
(VAMOS, que rompieron la barrera del sonido imagino que quiere decir el trisómico plumilla que ha defecado este breve).

@lowfour (post #405)
pero cuál era la prisa o la amenaza o loquesea??
operación seria contra qué?? unos amigos de cinta?? los ruskis?? una patera llena de turcos??
pues en tuiter solo dicen que hubo explosiones porque los gripen superaron la barrera del sonido y que NO se puede hablar del motivo, solo que no fue un ejercicio
posfale... pero qué ganan con eso?? si fueron unos ruskis borrachos, se dice y ya, o qué??

Si lo dicen es que no pasa nada, cuando el tema es verdaderamente serio lo niegan todo como hizo Lukashenko en febrero de 2022 pero luego en 2023 cuando amagaba con entrar en la guerra hizo esas astracanadas (porque no pensaba invadir realmente).

Parece que hay reacción europea
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/world/europe/china-spies.html
Suddenly, Chinese Spies Seem to Be Popping Up All Over Europe
A flurry of arrests this week reflect the continent’s newly toughened response to Beijing’s espionage activities and political meddling.
One of the men, a young Briton known for his hawkish views on China, worked as an aide to a prominent member of the British Parliament. Another, a German citizen of Chinese descent, was an assistant to a member of the European Parliament representing Germany’s far right.
While from different countries and seemingly divergent backgrounds and outlooks, both men became ensnared this week in accusations of espionage on behalf of China — and a widening pushback in Europe against malign Chinese influence in politics and commerce.
In all, six people in three separate cases have been charged this week in Europe with spying for China: two in Britain and four in Germany.
On Friday, as the two Britons made an initial court appearance in London, the U.S. secretary of state, Antony J. Blinken, met in Beijing with China’s leader, Xi Jinping, in the latest effort by the two rivals to keep communications open even as disputes escalate over trade, national security and geopolitical frictions.
The espionage cases in Britain and Germany, the first of their kind in two countries that once cultivated warm relations with Beijing, served as eye-catching exclamation points in Europe’s long, often anguished breakup with China.
Shortly after British and German officials announced that six of their citizens had been charged with espionage, the Dutch and Polish authorities on Wednesday raided the offices of a Chinese security equipment supplier as part of a crackdown by the European Union on what it sees as unfair trading practices.
It was the first time that the bloc’s executive arm, the European Commission, had used a new anti-foreign subsidy law to order a raid on a Chinese company.
In early April, Sweden expelled a Chinese journalist who had been a resident of the country for two decades, saying the reporter posed a threat to national security.
After years of regular tiffs over trade followed by reconciliation, Europe “has lost patience with China,” said Ivana Karaskova, a Czech researcher at the Association for International Affairs, an independent research group in Prague, who until last month served as an adviser to the European Commission on China.
China still has steadfast friends in the European Union, notably Hungary, she added, in “the multidimensional chess game” between the world’s two largest economies after the United States. But Europe, Ms. Karaskova said, has moved from a position of “total denial” in some quarters over the danger posed by Chinese espionage and influence operations to “take a less naïve view, and wants to defend European interests vis-à-vis China.”
Accusations this week that China was using spies to burrow into and influence the democratic process in Germany and Britain caused particular alarm, as they suggested a push to expand beyond already well-known, business-related subterfuge into covert political meddling, something previously seen as a largely Russian specialty.
But, according to China experts, those accusations and the flurry of charges this week indicated not so much that Beijing was ramping up espionage but that European countries had stepped up their response.
“Countries have been forced to get real,” said Martin Thorley, a British China expert and author of “All That Glistens,” a forthcoming book detailing how what London trumpeted a decade ago as a “golden era” of Sino-British friendship during the premiership of David Cameron made it easy for China to suborn politicians and businesspeople. The “golden era" has been widely mocked as a “golden error.”
Mr. Cameron, who is now Britain’s foreign secretary, has in recent months become an outspoken critic of China. “A lot of the facts changed,” he said during a visit to Washington in December, declaring that China had become “an epoch-defining challenge.”
His change of heart mirrors a wider shift across much of Europe in attitudes to a rising superpower that long counted on European countries, particularly Germany, to push back against what it denounces as “anti-China hype” emanating from Washington.
Germany’s security service has been warning publicly about the risk of trusting China since 2022, when, shortly after Russia started its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the head of its domestic intelligence agency, Thomas Haldenwang, told Parliament, “Russia is the storm, China is climate change.”
The agency, known by its German acronym, BfV, said in an unusual public warning last summer, “In recent years, China’s state and party leadership has significantly stepped up its efforts to obtain high-quality political information and to influence decision-making processes abroad.”
Germany’s political leadership, however, has until this week been far more equivocal. Chancellor Olaf Scholz recently made a state visit to China, Germany’s biggest trading partner, to discuss trade and market access.
**But Germany’s interior minister this week gave a blunt assessment of China’s activities. “We are aware of the considerable danger posed by Chinese espionage to business, industry and science,” the minister, Nancy Faeser, said. “We are looking very closely at these risks and threats and have issued clear warnings and raised awareness so that protective measures are increased everywhere.”**
Mareike Ohlberg, a China expert and a senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund in Berlin, said that “for a long time China was spared big public warnings.” Now, she said, the German authorities are “more willing to call things out, or no longer have the patience not to call things out.”
**Three of the four people arrested in Germany this week, a husband and wife and one other man, appear to have been involved in economic espionage using a company called Innovative Dragon to pass on sensitive information about German marine propulsion systems — of great value to a superpower interested in building up its navy. They also used the company to buy a high-powered, dual-use laser, which they exported to China without permission.**
**The fourth person, in what prosecutors called “an especially severe case,” was Jian Guo, a Chinese-German man who has been accused of working for China’s Ministry of State Security. His regular job was as an assistant to Maximilian Krah, a member of the European Parliament for the far-right party Alternative for Germany — a rising political force friendly to China and Russia — and its top candidate for elections in June.**
(Conexión ciberputi, no lo dudéis)
Since then, the public prosecutor in Dresden has begun a “pre-investigation” into how much Mr. Krah knew of his employee’s ties to China. On Wednesday, his party decided to keep supporting Mr. Krah’s bid for re-election to the European Parliament but disinvited him from campaign stops.
When Mr. Xi travels to Europe next month, he will skip Germany and Britain and instead visit Hungary and Serbia, China’s last two staunch allies on the continent, and France.
Mr. Thurley, the British author, said the spying cases had sounded the alarm over Chinese activities but were only a small part of efforts by China to gain influence and information. More important than traditional espionage, he said, is China’s use of a “latent network” of people who do not work directly for the Ministry of State Security but who, for commercial and other reasons, are vulnerable to pressure from the Chinese Communist Party and its myriad offshoots.
“This has been bad for a while and has been left far too long,” he said.
The two men accused in London of espionage for China, Christopher Cash, 29, and Christopher Berry, 32, were arrested in March last year but released on bail and were not named publicly until they were charged this week.
Mr. Cash was a parliamentary researcher with links to the governing Conservative Party and a former director of the China Research Group, a body that often takes a hard-line view on China and hosts podcasts with critics of Chinese interference.
His former colleagues include Alicia Kearns, a member of the governing Conservative Party who heads Parliament’s influential Foreign Affairs Committee, and her predecessor in that role, Tom Tugendhat, who is now the security minister.
In a statement this week, London’s Metropolitan Police said Mr. Cash and Mr. Berry were charged with violating the Official Secrets Act and had provided information “intended to be, directly or indirectly, useful to an enemy.” It added, “The foreign state to which the above charges relate is China.”
“It took a hell of a long time to wake up, but we finally see some movement,” said Peter Humphrey, a British citizen whom China accused of illegally obtaining personal information while doing due-diligence work for the pharmaceuticals company GlaxoSmithKline, and who spent two years in a Shanghai jail with his wife.
He was in jail suffering from cancer when Mr. Cameron visited the city in 2013 with a delegation of British businesspeople. “It was sickening,” recalled Mr. Humphrey, an external research fellow at Harvard’s Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies. “Nobody in the higher levels of the British government,” he said, “wanted to hear a bad word about China because of business interests.”

"_We are looking/working very closely_" = Sabemos que ocurre y que es algo que está perjudicando a otros, pero como nosotros nos estamos forrando... nos la pela completamente.
Esa traducción vale para cualquier ámbito anglosajón, la usan mucho sobre el ladrillo o la inflación.
Lo de China es un tira y afloja sobre algún tipo de negociación comercial que están haciendo ahora, se ponen muy pesados en la prensa pero hay que hacer como cuando dicen que ahora sí que sí van a regular la inmigración: ignorarlos y esperar a que pase la campaña de propaganda.


Llevábamos mucho tiempo sin ver a los tarados de Solomillov. Algo nuevo? Nada, pero este vídeo mola porque primero niegan que vayan a atacar a Europa y luego presumen de que van a atacar a Europa. 🤣

@lowfour (post #411)
madremia, esta gente está acabadísima, no?

Macron insiste no? Entrevista del Economist (paywall)
France's President Emmanuel Macron has not changed his opinion on the deployment of Western troops in Ukraine. He considers such an approach correct and said that if the Russians break through the line of contact and Ukraine requests help, it is worth considering.
Source: European Pravda; Macron in an interview with The Economist
Details: Macron replied affirmatively that he still stands by his words regarding the possibility of deploying allies' troops in Ukraine.
Quote from Macron: "I’m not ruling anything out, because we are facing someone who is not ruling anything out. We have undoubtedly been too hesitant by defining the limits of our action to someone who no longer has any and who is the aggressor!"
He insists that withholding from the adversary a full understanding of what actions can or should not be expected is also a deterrence tool.
"Otherwise we weaken ourselves, which is the framework within which we have been operating until now. In fact, many countries said that in the weeks that followed that they understood our approach, that they agreed with our position and that this position was a good thing," added the French president.
Macron noted that the French military has recently intervened in Africa, to fight terrorism at the request of other sovereign states.
Quote from Macron: "If the Russians were to break through the front lines, if there were a Ukrainian request—which is not the case today—we would legitimately have to ask ourselves this question. So I think to rule it out a priori is not to learn the lessons of the past two years."
He added that the aggressive reaction from Moscow to his initial statements proved that they had the desired effect.
Quote from Macron: "I have a clear strategic objective: Russia cannot win in Ukraine. If Russia wins in Ukraine, there will be no security in Europe. Who can pretend that Russia will stop there? What security will there be for the other neighbouring countries, Moldova, Romania, Poland, Lithuania and the others?
And behind that, what credibility for Europeans who would have spent billions, said that the survival of the continent was at stake and not have given themselves the means to stop Russia? So yes, we mustn’t rule anything out because our objective is that Russia must never be able to win in Ukraine."
He also explained he was talking about a number of threats, starting with direct military ones, when he said Europe "can fall apart" in a recent speech

>@lowfour (post #413) "I have a clear strategic objective: Russia cannot win in Ukraine. **If Russia wins in Ukraine, there will be no security in Europe.** Who can pretend that Russia will stop there? What security will there be for the other neighbouring countries, Moldova, Romania, Poland, Lithuania and the others?
>
>And behind that, what credibility for Europeans who would have spent billions, said that the survival of the continent was at stake and not have given themselves the means to stop Russia? So yes, we mustn’t rule anything out because our objective is that Russia must never be able to win in Ukraine."
a ver, que aunque pierda, la seguridad en europa ya está en peligro, solo hay que ver las granjas ciberputis como la lian

>@lowfour (post #413) Quote from Macron: **"If the Russians were to break through the front lines, if there were a Ukrainian request**—which is not the case today—we would legitimately have to ask ourselves this question. So I think to rule it out a priori is not to learn the lessons of the past two years."
dice galileo que eso significa esto:
pero ucrania tendría que solicitarlo, y luego ya veremos, porque dudo que vayan los franchutes solos, no?

Lo leía hoy por aquí o por ahí. Rusia está haciendo la táctica de Alemania con los V2. Una guerra terrorista. Intentan desmotivarnos a todos, porque saben que ya han perdido. Pero son muchos los tarados y mucho el petróleo y gas que venden.
Pero a saber cuando se dan por enterados. Vlad Vexler lo dice... Putin quiere la guerra eterna (como en 1984) por buscar la seguridad del régimen, ergo la seguridad suya personal. Le da igual si eso cuesta 30.000 soldados al mes durante 10 años.
Pero no salen las cuentas, hay un momento en el que el airframe de un caza hace ZAS y se fisura por cansancio de materiales. Lo mismo les va a pasar a los orcos. Será de repente.
El tema es aguantar.

@lowfour (post #417)
bueno, las medidas económicas harán lo suyo, pero los drones reventando depósitos... igual también, no?

@elarquitecto (post #418)
Es lo que decía el pavo ese economista un poco friki de youtube... que si, que vale, que la economía crece porque están remozando tanques y fabricando munición de artillería de esa cutre... pero es una economía que va a morir a la estepa ukra en forma de cráteres (lo mejor) o BMP's carbonizados (a lo peor).
No van a ningún lado. A ninguno.

¿Era Keynes el que decía algo parecido a que para subir el PIB se podía pagar a gente para cavar zanjas por el día y a otra gente para volverlas a tapar por la noche?
Ha quedado demostrado que los Estados actuales con impresora y MMT no pueden quebrar, si Rusia y Argentina no lo han hecho ya es que es imposible mientras no les invadan o desestabilicen desde fuera.
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