Algo pasa con la ofensiva rusa. Está atascada (II)

lowfour
lowfour
Started 2023-07-03
1236 posts
lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-24
#511

Llamadas desde el guano ruso.

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-24
#512

@lowfour (post #511)

pues hoy han sacado un reportaje todo ufanos con que han conquistado un... parece que es un monton de escoria procedente de alguna fundición o algo así, vamos, lo que viene siendo una escombrera...

Image

Image

lo de la escoria les pega, la verdad

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-24
#513

@elarquitecto (post #512)

Espera que ya viene la Wunderwaffen.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1716118591827751064

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-24
#514

@lowfour (post #513)

ostia, esta gente se supera... yo dije lo del motocarro por no decir carro tirado por caballos o algo así, pero ya veo que el plan puede ir por ahí llegado el caso

con eso yo supongo que no esperan ganar, sino... yoquesé perder más tarde??

Jag
Jag
2023-10-24
#515

@lowfour (post #513)

No sé, dónde van con esos cacharros? Pero si es mejor ir en Lada Niva!!!!

Increíble, eso tienen que ser batallones de castigo o algo así......

En breves momentos, la carga de los cosacos de Rostov a caballo en sus televisores......

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-24
#516

Image

es muy curioso, porque si habéis jugado a warhammer (no como cinta, que finge haber jugado, pero no se ha acercado a un libro o una figurita más cerca que desde el escaparate de alguna tienda y de pasada), los clanes orcos usan armamento que suele ser "frankestein", cuyo diseño se basa más en acoplar piezas existentes "recicladas" que en creaciones ex-novo y producción en masa

esto es un típico "artefacto" orco, de manual

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-24
#517

Image

enhorabuena a los suecos, ahora ya son un poco más "normales" 🤣

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-24
#518

@elarquitecto (post #517)

Lo próximo es entrar en el Euro. Lo que no van a aceptar nunca, o al menos hasta que la Von Der Leyen se ponga el strap-on y les explique un par de cosas a los del gobierno... es cerrar el monopolio del alcohol, el systembolaget. Menudo anacronismo en la UE!

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-25
#520

@lowfour (post #519)

es que al final, todo el trumpismo tiene sus límites, no puedes tener a la población encabronada y alienada indefinidamente, porque eso supone cada vez más energía (en forma de represión, que se lo pregunten a los best-koreanos) y más aislamiento (porque todo lo externo es "dañino" y tal, ya vimos cómo se las gastaban con la del síndrome ese fetal en best-korea, y eso que estaba ahí para blanquearles un poco... salió regular la cosa)

pero si hasta en irán tienes a la peña rebotada contra las ayatolais, y no son cuatro mujeres que se ponen mal el velo porque son "rebeldes" o están en la edad o yoquesé...

y si no, mira polonia, también les han echado a los nazionalistas trumpistas, cinta estaba apenado el otro día (aparte de que el milei tampoco ha rascado bola)

la duda es si estas cosas vienen financiadas por la cia o por quién, pero se ve que la pasta rusa ya no llega tan bien como antes y se resiente el populismo

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-25
#521

@elarquitecto (post #520)

Es que todo ese populismo no ha sido creado por rusia, pero ha sido amplificado por los wagneritos durante años. Y se les ha ido de las manos. Nos vamos a cagar cuando sen AI, ahi si que nos vamos a volver locos con tanta mierda que habrá en internet... volveremos a la tribu, rollo Station Eleven, desconfiando de todo el mundo, sin comunicación más que la oral.

Yo echo de menos los 90 antes de los móviles, era estupendo todo. Tenía satélite de modo que podía ver lo que se cocía por el mundo, la música más avanzada... pero no tenía Internet donde todo el mundo intenta quedarse con tus dos minutos de atención y venderte algo. Y encima trabajo de ello.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-25
#522
Edited 2023-10-25

Y lo de las masas cabreadas... pues nada, eso ya lo explicó genial "Escape from freedom" de Fromm sobre los nancys. Las relaciones sado-masoquistas te dan gustirrinín pero solo un rato. Ese libro, escrito en la oscuridad del Das Radikal Böse, me da esperanza, fíjate tu.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-25
#523
Edited 2023-10-25

Creo que como dijiste necesitamos un hilo de geopolítica/WWIII para nuestras conspiranoias más avanzadas. Luego lo abrimos, pero esto va ahi

Cinta_de_Carromero
Cinta_de_Carromero
2023-10-25
#524

>

@elarquitecto (post #516) (no como cinta, que finge haber jugado, pero no se ha acercado a un libro o una figurita más cerca que desde el escaparate de alguna tienda y de pasada)

En tu línea de no dar ni una, como siempre.

Cinta_de_Carromero
Cinta_de_Carromero
2023-10-25
#525

>

@lowfour (post #521) pero no tenía Internet donde todo el mundo intenta quedarse con tus dos minutos de atención y venderte algo. Y encima trabajo de ello.

Los mercachifles os habeis cargado Internet al hacer que todo se mueva por el dinero también aquí, y como se cree el ladrón que todos son de su condición, os pensais que yo también cobro. Precisamente lo mejor que tenía Internet era que el dinero era algo muy accesorio, había tiendas y servicios por Internet pero lo principal era el intercambio de información, no como ahora que la información está toda intoxicada y secuestrada por trillones de webs para recoger clicks y afiliados de Amazon que son totalmente infumables porque están redactadas pensando en las palabras claves para el SEO y los ComeMierdas a sueldo de diferentes intereses económicos y publicitarios.

A finales de la década de 2000 se jodió todo porque coincidió la entrada del marketing tóxico (astroturfing, CMs fingiendo ser gente desinteresada, publicidad viral etc...) junto con la popularización de los teléfonos móviles con acceso a Internet.

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-25
#526

@lowfour (post #523)

es que estas cosas tan "casuales" y tan "sincronizadas", justo justo después de que se reunieran los rusos, chinos, best-coreanos y tal...

se nos están pasando horas de diversión paco-conspiranoica

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-25
#527

@elarquitecto (post #516)

otro ejemplo de los orcos orqueando:

Image

cinta, dile al chap-gpt que te cree un textito sobre los orcos de warhammer como la otra vez, que es gracioso

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-25
#528

No eso lo han hecho los Ukros

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-25
#529

@lowfour (post #528)

ostia, es verdad! 🤣

si es que son medio primos todos 🤪

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-25
#530

Pues adios Leopard 2A6... con un drone. Joder... menudo panorama el de los tanques.

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/17gca5c/leopard2a6hitbyafpvdronedisplaysflame/

Cinta_de_Carromero
Cinta_de_Carromero
2023-10-25
#531

@elarquitecto (post #529) Como siempre equivocándose siempre y en todo 🤣

Eres un gretchin de la decoración de interiores.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-26
#532

El tanque era un Leopard 2A4, no 2A6.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-26
#533

Ojo la razón por la que la Gitana Romana exige que se tome Odesa para Rusia:

elarquitecto
elarquitecto
2023-10-26
#534

@lowfour (post #533)

yo es que creo que les tiene envidia, por eso luego se maquilla como una dragqueen, o qué??

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-26
#535

Ufff que locura, el ruso cambiando la munición y ve al ukro asomarse.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/17gweoc/russiansoldierflankandstormsaukranian/

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-26
#536

Buah, no tienen banco en el móvil porque Apple no les deja, jajajaja

Cinta_de_Carromero
Cinta_de_Carromero
2023-10-26
#537

@lowfour (post #535) Hostia para eso justo eran las bayonetas, se suponía que con las armas automáticas, la artillería y demás el combate cuerpo a cuerpo había desaparecido.

Cinta_de_Carromero
Cinta_de_Carromero
2023-10-27
#538

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1717627395463643280

Lo mismo que dijo Asteriscos @lowfour , de él (y de mí, pero de mí no digo nada ya que sé lo cabezón que eres) te puedes fiar que no somos putinos, le puedes leer cómo hace años en la guerra de Siria tenía a todos los putinos en contra porque le consideraban demasiado pesimista y en realidad lo que era es más objetivo con la situación real, sin autoengañarse. Le llamaban agente de la OTAN etc... que es el equivalente en el otro bando de agente de Wagner :P

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-27
#539
Edited 2023-10-27

@CintadeCarromero (post #538)

Cinta el único forero con insomnio crónico que postea a todas horas. Pero vosotros os creeis que somos tan oligofrenicos como el burbujista medio? Si además sigues sin tener ni puta idea quien es asteriscos ni de dónde viene el nombre.

lowfour
lowfour
2023-10-27
#540
Edited 2023-10-27

Buahhhh...

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/17hff85/iswrussianfortnightlosses5000personnel/

Pero están a ostia viva en Adviidka, los rusos se lo están poniendo muy mal a los Ukros.

Heavy Russian equipment losses around Avdiivka will likely undermine Russian offensive capabilities over the long term. Ukrainian Tavriisk Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Oleksandr Shtupun stated on October 26 that Russian forces have suffered 5,000 personnel killed and wounded and 400 armored vehicles losses near Avdiivka and Marinka (southwest of Donetsk City) since October 10.[1] Satellite imagery has confirmed that the Russian military has lost at least 109 military vehicles, primarily armored fighting vehicles and tanks, near Avdiivika between October 10 and 20.[2] A Ukrainian reserve officer stated that Russian forces appear to be using fewer armored vehicles near Avdiivka, although Russian forces may be regrouping for renewed large mechanized assaults as they did between the initial mechanized assaults on October 10 and a second series of large mechanized assaults on October 19 and 20.[3] The Russian command has funneled additional forces to the Avdiivka front to offset heavy manpower losses and maintain the Russian military’s ability to sustain its ongoing offensive effort.[4]

The Russian command will likely struggle to offset Russian equipment losses, particularly in armored vehicles, however. Widespread Russian equipment losses and shortages in the first year of the full-scale invasion heavily restricted Russia’s ability to conduct effective mechanized maneuver warfare during the Russian military's winter-spring 2023 offensive, contributing to further losses in disorderly mechanized assaults near Vuhledar, Donetsk Oblast in January and February 2023.[5] Heavy losses around Vuhledar likely prevented the Russian command from committing to sustained mechanized assaults elsewhere in Ukraine later in the winter-spring 2023 offensive.[6] Recent Russian equipment losses around Avdiivka appear to be much larger than earlier equipment losses around Vuhledar. It remains unclear if the prospect of further heavy equipment losses will deter the Russian command from launching another series of large, mechanized assaults near Avdiivka. Russia has gradually mobilized elements of its defense industrial base (DIB) to address equipment shortages but has not done so at a scale remotely sufficient to offset the cumulative Russian equipment losses in Ukraine.[7] Recent Russian equipment losses around Avdiivka will likely lead to even more pronounced Russian equipment shortages and setbacks for any progress that the Russian military has made in addressing degraded mechanized maneuver warfare capabilities.

Ukrainian forces marginally advanced on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast and continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Geolocated footage published on October 25 shows that Ukrainian forces marginally advanced north of Pidstepne (15km east of Kherson City).[8] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Bakhmut and Melitopol (western Zaporizhia Oblast) directions.[9]

Ukrainian officials denied reports that Ukraine suspended a corridor for civilian vessels in the Black Sea on October 26. Reuters reported that British security firm Ambrey, Ukrainian consulting firm Barva Invest, and specialized Ukrainian news outlet Ukrainian Ports stated that Ukraine had temporarily suspended traffic through the corridor on October 26.[10] Barva Invest stated that the Ukrainian Sea Ports Administration announced the suspension on the evening of October 25 and that a de facto suspension had already been in place for two days.[11] Ukrainian Southern Operational Command Spokesperson Captain First Rank Nataliya Humenyuk stated that many factors, including threats from Russian forces and weather, affect the Ukrainian military’s decisions to allow individual civilian vessels to pass through the corridor.[12] The Ukrainian Ministry of Reconstruction and the Ukrainian Minister for Communities, Territories, and Infrastructure Development, Oleksandr Kubrakov, later clarified that reports about the suspension are false and that civilian vessels are using all available routes established by the Ukrainian Navy.[13] Russia has continually pursued efforts to disrupt Ukrainian grain exports and curtail maritime traffic to Ukrainian ports and will likely continue escalatory posturing in the Black Sea meant to undermine confidence in the Ukrainian corridor.[14]

An amendment to the Russian citizenship law allowing for the revocation of naturalized Russian citizenship came into force on October 26, providing the Russian government with a new mechanism to coerce migrants into Russian military service. The amendment most notably allows Russian authorities to revoke Russian citizenship from naturalized citizens who are convicted of discrediting the Russian military and of committing “certain crimes encroaching on public and personal safety” regardless of when the crime was committed, the date of sentencing, or for how long the convicted has held Russian citizenship.[15] Russian authorities have recently increased raids against migrants accused of committing crimes to deliver summonses and impress migrants into signing military contracts.[16] Russian authorities will likely use this new amendment to further recruit naturalized migrants under threat of revoking their Russian citizenship or after having done so.[17] It is unclear what procedure Russian authorities will follow once they deprive someone of their citizenship, and Russian authorities may intend to use deportation procedures to increase the number of migrants in detention centers, where Russian officials regularly try to recruit.[18] Russian authorities will also likely exploit denaturalized migrants whose labor options will become limited upon conviction of a crime and loss of their Russian citizenship and therefore more vulnerable to military recruitment efforts. The new amendment to the citizenship law also streamlines the process for allocating Russian citizenship to certain individuals, including children with at least one Russian parent, migrants currently residing in Russia, and participants in the Russian state resettlement program, by removing certain entrance requirements.[19]

The EU is reportedly behind on its artillery ammunition round provision to Ukraine. Unspecified sources told Bloomberg in an article published on October 25 that the EU has currently delivered only 30 percent of the promised one million shells that are expected by March 2024.[20] Bloomberg also reported that some unspecified counties have asked to extend the provision deadline.

The US Department of Defense (DoD) and the UK Ministry of Defense (MoD) recently announced new military aid packages to Ukraine. The UK MoD announced on October 11 a new package of military material support for Ukraine valued at over 100 million pounds (about $121 million).[21] The US DoD announced on October 26 a new security assistance package valued at up to $150 million in materiel.[22]

Armenia continues to distance itself from Russia amid deteriorating Armenian-Russian relations. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan stated in an interview with the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) published on October 25 that there are no “advantages” to the continued presence of Russian military bases in Armenia.[23] Pashinyan also stated that Armenia is in the process of diversifying its security partnerships.[24] Pashinyan previously stated on October 11 that Russian peacekeepers should return to Russia instead of the Russian bases in Armenia if they leave Nagorno-Karabakh.[25]

A senior Hamas delegation traveled to Moscow and met with Russian and Iranian officials on October 26.[26] (NOTE: This text also appeared in the Critical Threats Project (CTP)’s October 26 Iran Update) Hamas’ International Relation Office head and political bureau member Musa Abu Marzouk led a delegation, which also included the Health Minister of the Gaza Strip, Basem Naim.[27] The delegation held a joint meeting with Russian Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister and Special Representative for the Middle East Mikhail Bogdanov and Iranian Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister Ali Bagheri Kani. Hamas leaders issued statements around the visit praising Russia’s stance toward the Israel-Hamas war. Russia has framed itself as a possible mediator between Israel and Hamas and submitted a UN resolution calling for a humanitarian ceasefire on October 16. The UN resolution failed to mention Hamas by name.[28] The Israeli Foreign Affairs Ministry condemned Russia’s invitation to Hamas on October 26.[29]CTP-ISW previously assessed that the Kremlin is already exploiting and will likely continue to exploit the Israel-Hamas war to advance several information operations intended to reduce US and Western support for and attention to Ukraine.[30] A senior Hamas delegation most recently visited Moscow in March 2023 amid strained tensions between Russia and Israel over the Russian invasion of Ukraine. (Esto lo dijimos en el minuto cero)

Key Takeaways:

  • - Heavy Russian equipment losses around Avdiivka will likely undermine Russian offensive capabilities over the long term.

  • - Ukrainian forces marginally advanced on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast and continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

  • - Ukrainian officials denied reports that Ukraine suspended a corridor for civilian vessels in the Black Sea on October 26.

  • - An amendment to the Russian citizenship law allowing for the revocation of naturalized Russian citizenship came into force on October 26, providing the Russian government with a new mechanism to coerce migrants into Russian military service.

  • - A senior Hamas delegation traveled to Moscow and met with Russian and Iranian officials on October 26.

  • - Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.

  • - Several Russian opposition outlets reported that Russian defense industrial base (DIB) companies continue to use Western components supplied through intermediaries to manufacture missiles to use against Ukraine.

  • - Russian occupation authorities continue efforts to forcibly indoctrinate Ukrainian youth into Russian culture and identity through the expansion of military-patriotic educational programs.
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