parece ser que la cosa está malita en el donbas
después de lo de kiev y jarkov, igual esperábamos que pasara lo mismo en esa zona, pero claro, los rusos no pueden permitirse más fallos
pero si están enviando t-62, no creo que sea porque hagan bonito, es que van a saturar la zona de tanques aunque sean viejos y carcomidos, no hay tanto javelin para todos
@elarquitecto (post #750)
Con misiles desde aviones, los misiles de crucero son muy lentos y son tirando a grandes, de modo que en teoría es un objetivo asequible para los misiles aire aire, eso es lo que entiendo. El tema es que Ucrania tiene aviones operativos. Eso es lo alucinante. Seguramente los SU25 esos que les han pasado desmontados como un lego.
@elarquitecto (post #751)
Si, eso parece. Desde luego el ritmo de vídeos victoriosos Ukros ha decaído en picado. Una desgracia, porque una no derrota de Rusia significa que en 5 años estaremos igual o peor si no han reventado por la vía económica. Parece que los chinos les hacen pedidos cada vez más grandes de energía los malditos. Por supuesto,
Russian forces appeared poised on Friday to seize control of Sievierodonetsk after laying siege to the city, the easternmost one still under Ukrainian control.
Local officials said that fierce fighting was underway and that Russian forces had surrounded two-thirds of the mining and industrial city in the Luhansk region. Sievierodonetsk lies at the heart of eastern Ukraine’s Donbas, which puts it squarely in Moscow’s cross hairs as it turns the full force of its efforts to the east.
Serhiy Hadai, the head of the region’s military administration, told Ukrainian news outlets on Friday that Russian forces had entered Sievierodonetsk. He said in a post on his Telegram channel that Russian shelling had killed four residents there on Thursday and destroyed 11 apartment buildings and one house.
In another post on his Facebook page, he urged locals to remain in bomb shelters and to avoid being outside.
“Residents of Sievierodonetsk have already forgotten when the city was silent for at least half an hour,” he wrote. “Russians are attacking residential neighborhoods continuously.”
The governor of Luhansk, Oleksandr Stryuk, said late Thursday that Russian forces had surrounded two-thirds of Sievierodonetsk but that the city was not yet fully encircled. He added that heavy shelling had continued unabated for two days, damaging about 90 percent of the city’s housing stock. About 1,500 people in the city have died since the start of the war, he said.
Se cargan cantidades récord de petróleo ruso a bordo de petroleros en su camino a India y China. La semana pasada, entre 74 y 79 millones de barriles estaban en camino desde Rusia, más del doble que la semana anterior a la invasión rusa de Ucrania.
Desde que EE. UU., Gran Bretaña y la UE comenzaron a buscar petróleo en otros lugares en lugar de Rusia, las exportaciones de petróleo ruso a India y China han aumentado significativamente.
"Algunos compradores en Asia están más interesados en la economía que en tomar una posición política", dijo Jane Xie, analista sénior de Kpler en Singapur. (TT)
POKROVSK, Ukraine — Russian forces’ capturing of the eastern city of Lyman, which both Russian and Ukrainian officials confirmed on Friday, makes it the second midsize Ukrainian city to change hands this week.
And with Russia’s artillery superiority in the fighting on the rolling plains of the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine — where Moscow has focused its war effort after losses around the capital, Kyiv, and in the country’s north — it is apparently close to seizing the easternmost Ukrainian city still under Ukrainian control, Sievierodonetsk.
The capture of Lyman, a city with a prewar population of about 20,000 near a strategic highway, followed intense artillery bombardments, including from one of the most fearsome weapons in Russia’s conventional arsenal, a rocket artillery system firing thermobaric explosives. Also known as fuel-air bombs, these explosives set off huge, destructive shock waves.
The weapons’ use highlighted the pyrrhic victories Russia was achieving with the artillery-heavy tactics as its ground forces pushed into cities already reduced to rubble by the artillery support needed for their capture.
Yet Lyman’s fall also underscored the Russian Army’s ability to gain ground using its artillery bombardments and creeping advances. On Tuesday, the Ukrainian Army withdrew from the city of Svitlodarsk to avoid becoming surrounded.
And after weeks of grinding artillery bombardments, a Russian assault force entered Sievierodonetsk on Friday, Serhiy Haidai, the head of the Luhansk region’s military administration, told the Ukrainian news media. The fighting centered on an outlying district of the city near a hotel, Mir Hotel.
Lyman is close to a highway connecting the cities of Sloviansk and Sievierodonetsk, although Ukraine can still supply Sievierodonetsk via another highway farther south.
The claim of the capture of Lyman came in a statement from a Russian-backed separatist entity, the Donetsk People’s Republic. “A group of forces of the Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics with artillery support from the Russian armed forces liberated and established full control over” Lyman, the group said in a statement on Friday. It used the Soviet-era name for the city, Krasny Lyman, or Red Lyman.
Ukrainian officials acknowledged the city’s loss. “Most of Lyman is not controlled by the Ukrainian military,” the head of the Donetsk region’s military administration, Pavlo Kyrylenko, told the Ukrainian news media. “There was a regrouping of the armed forces in order to take fortified positions.”
The bombardments by Russia’s military have ground away at Ukraine’s defenses. On Tuesday, the mayor of Svitlodarsk, Serhiy Hoshko, said the city had fallen.
The thermobaric weapon now in use in the war in the east — called a Tos-1 but nicknamed Solntsepek, or Sunshine — was fired into Lyman on Tuesday, according to a drone video posted online by Ukrainian officials that showed huge fireballs bursting with the incoming rockets.
Mykhailo Podolyak, an adviser to President Volodymyr Zelensky, wrote on Twitter on Friday about the weapons system, attaching a video of its purported use in Lyman.
Russia “already uses the heaviest non-nuclear weapons against” Ukraine, “burning people alive,” the adviser wrote, adding that “maybe it’s time to respond and give us” rocket artillery systems as well.
Russia is responsible for inciting genocide in Ukraine, with the apparent intent of destroying the Ukrainian people, a new report released Friday by international legal scholars and human rights experts concluded.
The report said that mass killings, deliberate attacks on shelters or evacuation routes, and the indiscriminate bombardment of residential areas by Russian forces established a “genocidal pattern” indicating an intent to wipe out a substantial part of the Ukrainian population, in violation of the U.N. Genocide Convention.
Rhetoric from the highest levels of the Kremlin and Russian state media denying the Ukrainian national identity and dehumanizing its people amounts to “state-orchestrated” incitement of genocide, according to the report, which was released by the Washington-based New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy think tank and the Montreal-based Raoul Wallenberg Center for Human Rights.
“There is considerable evidence demonstrating that Russian soldiers have internalized state propaganda and either expressed genocidal intent or carried out atrocities in response to it,” wrote the authors, who include former war crimes prosecutors, former ambassadors and Canada’s former justice minister.
Under international law, genocide is defined as killing or causing serious bodily or mental harm “with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group.”
The report found evidence that Ukrainians are at “imminent” risk of genocide, which would require nations that are party to the Genocide Convention to act to prevent the deaths and punish those responsible. While the report’s authors noted that they were using a lower standard of proof than would be required in international courts, they said there were “reasonable grounds to conclude” Russia was in violation of the Genocide Convention.
Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, has repeatedly accused Russia of genocide.
After reports emerged of atrocities by Russian soldiers in the suburbs of Kyiv in April, President Biden accused Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin, of committing genocide. He qualified his remark by saying that it wasn’t a legal conclusion, and that “we’ll let the lawyers decide internationally.”
Mr. Putin has falsely accused Ukraine of committing genocide against Russian speakers and used it as a pretext for invasion. The report released Friday called this an “accusation in a mirror,” a method of inciting genocide that has historical precedents in the Holocaust and the massacre in Srebrenica, where an estimated 8,000 Muslim men and boys were killed in what is now the semiautonomous Serb region of Bosnia and Herzegovina.
The pattern of atrocities of Russians targeting civilians in Ukraine is comparable to the genocidal acts committed by Myanmar’s military against the minority Rohingya group, the report said, quoting from the U.N. fact-finding mission there: “The vastness of the State’s involvement is inescapable.”
>President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine warned on Thursday that Russian forces wanted to burn cities in the country’s east “to ashes” and intended to inflict the same destruction there that they have on other cities.
>
>As Russia ground out small gains in the Donbas region of Donetsk and Luhansk and local officials tallied losses from the fighting, Mr. Zelensky accused Moscow of a genocide and admonished the world for not acting earlier to stem its aggression.
>
>“The current offensive of the occupiers in Donbas can make the region uninhabited,” he said in an address late Thursday night. “They want to burn Popasna, Bakhmut, Lyman, Lysychansk and Sievierodonetsk to ashes. Like Volnovakha, like Mariupol.”
>
>Hours after Mr. Zelensky’s comments, Serhiy Haidai, the head of the Ukrainian military administration in the region of Luhansk, counted the losses from a day of fighting in the city of Sievierodonetsk.
>
>Four residents were killed by Russian shelling on Thursday, Mr. Haidai said Friday morning in a post on his Telegram channel, and 11 apartment buildings and one house were destroyed.
>
>Russian forces also opened fire on a police station, he said, though no one there was injured.
>
>“Residents of Sievierodonetsk have already forgotten when the city was silent for at least half an hour,” he wrote. “Russians are attacking residential neighborhoods continuously.”
>
>In the neighboring Donetsk region, there were at least five civilians killed on Thursday, according to a message posted on Telegram by Pavlo Kyrylenko, the head of the Ukrainian military administration there.
>
>“Russia is killing civilians!” he wrote, saying two people were killed in the town of Marinka, two in Lyman and one in Zoria.
La verdad es que tiene sentido. Si lo que quieren es crear una zona desmilitarizada y quedarse con el petróleo y gas de la zona ahí no necesitan que viva nadie. De hecho cuantas menos personas vivan mejor van a poder controlar la movida.
@lowfour (post #756) que joputas los ucros
estaban pasando de jerson como de comer mierda, ha sido caer liman y ponerse feo en el donbas, y zasca! te meto por detrás
fijo que no atacaban jerson porque mantenía un perfil bajo a ver si los rusos se iban para el donbas... y parece que es lo que ha pasado
o qué?
lo de fijar al enemigo en posiciones defensivas para que no se pire a reforzar nada
los rusos conquistan liman, pero pierden jerson
me parto
@lowfour (post #758) es que si dejan a alguien les "partisanizan" todo
les pasó en bucha y tal, es lo que pasa cuando invades una region que te odia, o los eliminas a todos o te joderán
no tiene otro sentido
@lowfour (post #762) no me creo que vuelvan a intentar asaltar Kiev. Estamos en un momento en el que ya todos mienten, los rusos desde el principio y los ucros pueden estar comunicando más debilidad de la real. Lo cual no quita para que las batallas en el Donbass sean terriblemente cruentas y están cayendo hostias como panes.
@lowfour (post #761)
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-to-send-advanced-rocket-systems-to-kyiv-officials-say-11653675804
U.S. to Send Advanced Rocket Systems to Kyiv, Officials Say
Mobile artillery launchers expected to arrive within weeks, would enable Ukraine to strike Russian batteries in Donbas
como no se den prisa, les van a llover misiles yankis
bueno, y si se la dan también
Ojo que acabo de leer (lo he perdido, lo tengo que encontrar) una pieza que dice que pronto vamos a ver Apaches AH64 y F16 en Ucrania y que van a ser necesarios para ganar esa guerra. Ahora pongo el enlace.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/ukraine-win-war-russia-analysis-1.6463220
'Canada has been surprisingly timid and late, just like the United States,' says U.S. diplomat
It made for an extraordinary sight recently on the broken, battered streets of Kharkiv on a warm Saturday afternoon.
A Russian T-80 main battle tank, draped in camouflage netting and Ukrainian flags and pennants, was broken down in front of a neighborhood grocery store, where weary shoppers shuffled past with barely a glance.
"Russian junk," the tank commander joked.
He was happy to talk as long as we didn't identify him, or his unit.
A Russian T-80 main battle tank captured a month ago by the Ukrainians and used to drive Russian forces away from Kharkiv, the country's second largest city. (Murray Brewster/CBC)
The tank, captured a month before by Ukrainian forces who had doggedly defended the country's second-largest city, had a clogged oil filter and the crew lounged in the intermittent sunshine waiting for the mechanic from the local depot to bail them out.
The commander, bearded, jovial but haggard, simply beamed through his ballistic sunglasses at how the tank's 125 millimetre cannon had been turned back on the Russians and ultimately helped drive them away from the city.
It killed many Russians, he said proudly.
What he wouldn't give, the commander said, for an American-built Abrams M-1 tank or even a German-manufactured Leopard 2, the kind used by the Canadian army.
The Ukrainian commander of a captured Russian T-80, broken down on the street corner in Kharkiv. (Murray Brewster/CBC)
In many ways, the scene was emblematic of the kind of war the Ukrainians have been forced to fight, where they've had to beg, borrow or steal what they need to survive.
A global contact group, intended to coordinate pledges of military equipment from more than 40 allies in and outside NATO, met for a second time Monday at the U.S. air base in Ramstein, Germany.
Throwing caution to the wind
Despite a veneer of allied solidarity with Ukraine, there is an undercurrent of bitterness which occasionally rises to the surface. You heard it in Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's virtual speech to NATO leaders in mid-March and again recently with Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba's remarks in interviews with U.S. media.
The thrust: Thousands of lives would have been saved had the United States and western allies provided sophisticated military aid requested by Ukraine months before Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the full-scale invasion in February.
They are not wrong, said former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst.
"It's very simple," he said. "Western aid, especially U.S. aid, has been essential for Ukraine, but it has been slow. It has been cautious, overly cautious. And if we had sent what we should have sent, when we should have sent it, Ukraine's position would have been stronger."
Canada, one of the last western countries to send lethal aid, cannot escape criticism in this vein. A request by Kyiv for arms and munitions was under "review" in Ottawa for months before Russian troops stormed across the border.
"Canada has been surprisingly timid and late, just like the United States," said Herbst, who served for 31 years as a foreign service officer in the U.S. State Department and is now a senior director of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center.
Given the large Ukrainian diaspora population in Canada and its leading role as a military trainer in Ukraine, with all of the insight that would bring, "you'd expect more from Canada, but they have been no better than the Biden Administration, perhaps even worse," Herbst added. "Of the major NATO allies, the one country that has shown strength and vision was the U.K."
In late January, when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau promised non-lethal aid to Ukraine, he said Canada wasn't sending lethal weaponry because it didn't want to give Russia any excuse to invade Ukraine.
Taking Stock
So, how badly has Ukraine been mauled?
Reliable official figures are hard to come by and third party estimates vary wildly. In a rare moment of clarity, Zelensky hinted on Sunday that as many as 100 Ukrainian soldiers were dying each day in the Donbas. A few weeks ago, he told CNN up to 3,000 troops had been killed defending the country.
It is the material losses that preoccupy Phillip Karber, president of the Potomac Foundation who has made 39 trips to Ukraine since the 2014 annexation of Crimea by Russia and is considered one of the foremost western experts on the eight-year-old war.
He's done his own calculations based upon long-established military formulas and the kind of intense fighting he's witnessed over the last three months.
Since the Feb. 24 Russian invasion, Karber believes that a little less than half of Ukraine's tanks have been destroyed or damaged; almost two-thirds of the army's Soviet-era armoured personnel carriers have been wrecked and up to a quarter of the military's artillery pieces.
Ukraine's defence ministry would not confirm to him, or CBC News — for operational security reasons — how close Karber's estimates might be.
It is, however, against such a stark backdrop that Ukraine's pleas for heavy weapons and equipment can be better understood and urgently appreciated.
Several western military experts, who've been quietly advising the Ukrainian government at different levels, have privately remarked at how officials reluctantly share information, other than providing lists of military equipment.
A wrecked and burned out Russian troop carrier on the outskirts of Kharkiv. It was destroyed in the fighting between Russian and Ukranian forces in late April. (CBC News/Murray Brewster)
More NATO than NATO
As the brutality, horror and atrocities of the Russian invasion revealed themselves, western governments have shed their inhibitions and agreed to ship a variety of surplus heavy military equipment. They are stuffing the pipeline, proposing to fill gaps and create an army equipped with a hodge-podge of equipment that — significantly — comes with a complex supply and spare parts chain as well as different, often specialized training needs.
"You know that there's this cornucopia of systems," said Karber, "I laugh, half as a joke but it's actually serious. Ukraine is going to have more different types of NATO weapons, more standardized with other NATO nations than any other country in NATO."
The easiest for the Ukrainians to integrate is the Soviet-era equipment being donated from other former Warsaw Pact countries, including Poland which has provided T-72 tanks and early BMP infantry fighting vehicles. Ukrainian troops know how to drive and fight with them.
What will be more difficult is integrating more high-tech western equipment, be it French mobile artillery guns, Norwegian air defence missiles, Australian M-113 tracked armoured personnel carriers, or Canadian and American M-777 towed howitzers. All of them have different supply needs and training sets that could take months to get up and running.
All of it will help Ukraine hold the line, stay in the fight, and not lose the war.
Building a new army on the run
Not losing, however, is different than victory and Karber said, in order to win, the Ukrainian army will have to conduct a major, theater-wide counter-offensive to reclaim territory.
To do that, he said he believes, they're going to have to create a totally separate strategically-employed army group, one that could and should be equipped with more modern western military vehicles.
The United States could, out of its existing arsenal of recently-retired gear, equip the Ukrainians with hundreds of M-1 Abrams tanks, Bradley infantry fighting vehicles — enough to tip the balance on the battlefield in favour of the Ukrainians.
"Do the systems exist? And are available in significant numbers and are not in current active use in the U.S., or NATO countries, or potential donor countries? And the answer is yes," Karber said.
The other important key to turning the tide is airpower. Karber said recently retired American F-16 fighters and AH-64 Apache attack helicopters, with sufficient airframe life, could be made available and would be necessary for any potential large-scale counter-offensive.
It would take political will on the part of NATO allies to help Ukraine build such a force, Karber added.
Avoiding a war of attrition
Without some kind of major counter-offensive, retired U.S. Army lieutenant-general Ben Hodges said the two countries will be reduced to exchanging blows.
"I do believe that Ukraine is going to end up winning, and I use that word on purpose," Hodges said, noting that U.S. Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin recently talked about Ukraine "winning" the war. "You know, 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan, I've never heard any administration use the word win. It was always, you know, make things better, no safe haven for terrorists, but I mean, there was no, nobody's talking about winning."
Russia, he said, has chosen a war of attrition in the east of Ukraine. Hodges said he doesn't believe Moscow has the capacity to launch a major offensive and could possibly become vulnerable by late summer, as the bite of international sanctions takes its toll on the Russian defence industry.
"So I'm thinking that Ukraine, if I was advising them, that's what they would be doing with a lot of this new equipment, new troops, training them, preparing them for employment, in a counter offensive sometime in end of August, early September," Hodges said.
Both Hodges and Karber say it's important for allies not to be lulled into a false sense of security by the recent advances of Ukrainian troops in clearing Russian forces away from both Kyiv and Kharkiv.
While the Ukrainians stopped the invaders at the gates of both cities and gave them "a really, really bloody nose," as Karber put it, the fact is - in the end - Russia chose to cede the territory rather than having its forces chewed up further.
Outside of Kharkiv, over the last several days, there is still the distant rumble of artillery and see-saw battles for some villages that the Ukrainians have reclaimed.
Sitting on his captured iron monster on a Kharkiv street corner, the Ukrainian tank commander was seemingly unconcerned.
"If they try to come back," he said through an interpreter,"we will cut their throats."
Russia nos quiere impresionar con sus juguetitos. Nuevo lanzamiento hipersonico.
Revolución cultural a la rusa.
@lowfour (post #771) 
anda que disimulan, eh?
Que salaos... bueno es el inmundo, no me creo gran cosa, pero vaya tela.
https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2022/05/28/629224c5e4d4d89e658b45bf.html
El chantaje del grano es para que les levante sanciones. Eso o Holodomor 2022.
Bruselas teme una hambruna en los países que dependen del trigo bloqueado por Rusia en los silos y puertos ucranios
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