Zelensky dice que tienen unas 100 bajas ucras al dia. Unos 3000 al mes. O 36000 al año. Es insostenible, muchísimo. Si, tienen 700.000 movilizados, pero más de la mitad bastante tendrá con no pegarse un tiro en el pie.
He visto varios vídeos y varios reportes en los últimos días en los que se ve claramente a Ukros siendo volatilizados por artillería rusa e incluso combate muy cercano. Debe ser igual en el otro lado, pero ya no es ese apocalípsis NLAW de hace dos meses. No han llegado todas las armas al frente, pero Zelensky ya pide más.
Al parecer Francia quiere forzar una tregua (o eso he leido en el otro foro) mientras que Polonia dice que solo Ucrania decidirá cuando y cómo negocia.
Del NYT
Grueling battles on Ukraine’s eastern front fail to shift the war’s momentum.
DONETSK REGION, Ukraine — Two fighter jets flew low over Ukrainian positions in the eastern part of the country on Sunday afternoon, dropping flares, then sweeping around in an arc and disappearing. Ukrainian soldiers crouched low, watching and waiting, unsure if the jets were friendly or enemy aircraft.
Half an hour later, the sounds of incoming mortar fire whistled further along the hillside.
After failing to secure a quick victory in northern Ukraine early in the war and retreating from areas around the capital, Russian forces have shifted focus and firepower to the east.
Russian troops are pushing south from the city of Izium and from positions to the east in an attempt to encircle the Ukrainians and seize the entire Donbas region in eastern Ukraine, which consists of Donetsk and its neighboring province, Luhansk.
The battles have been bloody, but neither side has been able to move the frontline substantially in their favor throughout the chaotic battlefield, a landscape dominated by farmland and small mining towns and villages that are mostly deserted.
For weeks, Ukrainian and Russian troops have been engaged in a grueling war of attrition, often fighting fiercely over small areas, as one village falls into Russian hands on one day only to be retaken by the Ukrainians a few days later.
On Sunday, Ukraine’s military said Russian forces had attacked several locations along the front line in the east. In an assessment of the war published early Sunday evening, it described intensive artillery bombardments on mostly deserted towns and villages.
To the north of the city of Sloviansk in Donetsk, which Russian forces have been seeking to capture, Russian artillery bombarded Ukrainian positions and staged probing attacks that were rebuffed, the Ukrainian military’s report said.
Farther to the east, Russian forces attacked two frontline villages — Prudnovka and Aleksandrovka — with mortar and artillery fire but also failed to advance, according to the assessment.
“They are trying bit by bit, all the time,” said Oleh, 56, the commander of a unit of volunteers manning positions south of Izium, a Russian-controlled city that Russia is using as a staging ground for its offensive in Donbas. He asked that his surname and the location of specific frontline positions not be identified, according to military protocol.
Frontline positions were under persistent artillery fire, he said, “but we are holding.”
Ukraine has released few details about military casualties, but President Volodymyr Zelensky said Sunday that “from 50 to 100” soldiers are dying each day in eastern Ukraine, according to Ukrainian media.
Oleh, the commander, said that Ukrainian troops had held their positions for two months and that he was confident they could stave off further attacks — as long as Western military assistance keeps coming.
“We are ready for anything,” he said, “but we need more heavy weapons, and on this we rely on our allies.”
